2025-01-21 07:03

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- XRP surges 38% in a week
- Increase in whale transfers to Binance, potential sell signal
[Unblock Media]
XRP has recently shown a strong upward trend, recording more than a 38% increase in a week. However, on-chain data indicates a significant increase in whale (large-scale holders) transfers to Binance. Typically, whale transfers to exchanges suggest the potential for selling, causing the market to focus on the possible impact on XRP prices.
According to a recent report from the blockchain analysis platform CryptoQuant, the "Whale to Exchange Transactions" indicator (which counts the number of times whales move funds to exchanges) has seen a substantial increase on Binance. Whales are the most influential investors within the network, capable of causing price volatility with single transactions. A high indicator value means that whales are frequently sending funds to exchanges, usually with the intention of selling (taking profits).
Analysts have noted a significant increase in whale transfers just before XRP surpassed $3.3. They suspect that whales, anticipating a sharp rise in XRP prices, may have relocated their coins to exchange wallets and are currently waiting for the right moment to realize their profits.
The duration of XRP's current surge will depend significantly on global financial tightening trends and changes in cryptocurrency regulations across different countries. Previously shaken by lawsuit issues with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), XRP's regulatory risks seem to have eased recently with some favorable rulings. Additionally, the European Union (EU) is accelerating the incorporation of cryptocurrency into the institutional framework with the introduction of the comprehensive MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) regulation. From a global economic perspective, there is growing optimism for a relaxation in interest rate hikes, leading to a general recovery in investment sentiment towards risk assets.
These macroeconomic factors and regulatory changes intertwine, making it more complex to predict whether XRP will maintain its profit range for a longer period or if a wave of profit-taking sales will occur in the short term.
The sharp increase in the "XRP Whale Exchange Transfers" indicator observed this time, as analyzed with a 7-day simple moving average (SMA), is similar to several past instances. Early 2021: When XRP experienced a short-term spike, whale transfers to exchanges significantly increased, leading to a substantial adjustment as profit-taking sales concentrated over a short period. 2018 bull run: After an increase in whale transfers, price adjustments followed, but subsequent gains ultimately led to a long-term upward trend.
Given that whales appear to have repositioned themselves in anticipation of a price surge, there is speculation that large-scale selling could occur at certain points, as seen in similar past cases. Alternatively, some believe that significant sell signals are not yet evident.
The chart below shows XRP's price trend over the past month. Initial surge followed by consolidation: After a surge of more than 38%, XRP experienced a correction around the $3.3 mark but formed a strong support level, leading to a sideways trend in recent days. Decrease in volume: Trading volume increased during the price surge, but has noticeably decreased during the recent sideways phase, indicating weakened short-term momentum. Resistance near the peak: The $3.3-$3.4 range shows a strong resistance pattern on the chart. A clear breakthrough in this zone could lead to further gains, while a downturn at resistance might prompt whales to sell more rapidly.
In summary, the significant increase in whale transfers to Binance suggests potential selling pressure in the market. However, with XRP maintaining a strong upward trend and favorable macroeconomic prospects, there remains a chance for the trend to resume after a possible brief adjustment. Ultimately, XRP's direction will depend on the timing of whale sales and global financial environment changes.
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